Friday, November 11, 2005

One bit of good news before it gets too far away

Just over two weeks ago, AP reported that the Shrub team has abandoned research into a nuclear "bunker-buster" warhead. Known as the Robust Nuclear Earth Penetrator, it was designed to burrow into the ground before exploding, putting what are known as "hard targets" - missile silos, reinforced bunkers, and the like - at risk.

Congress had been cool to the idea, to the extent that the House blocked funding and the Senate approved only a scaled-back request of $4 million for initial research. Now the White House has given up on it.
"This is a true victory for a more rational nuclear policy," said Stephen Young, a senior analyst for the Union of Concerned Scientists, a nuclear nonproliferation advocacy group. "The proposed weapon, more than 70 times the size of the bomb dropped on Hiroshima, would have caused unparalleled collateral damage."
But of course, these days no bit of good news can go untainted: The Shrub gang hasn't given up on the idea, just on using nukes to do it.
"The focus will now be with the Defense Department and its research into earth-penetrating technology using conventional weaponry," [Sen. Pete] Domenici [R-NM] said in a statement. The nuclear security administration "indicated that this research should evolve around more conventional weapons, rather than tactical nuclear devices," the senator said.
The Shrub gang insists that this is a vital, absolutely necessary weapon in the War On Terrorism(c)(reg.)(pat.pend.) - a classic case of old wine in new bottles: The idea for the weapon was originally broached in the context of a nuclear targeting strategy called "decapitation" which aimed to "win" a nuclear war by destroying an enemy's C3I, it's "Command, Control, Communications, and Intelligence."

And in fact its usefulness against tunnels and such used by irregular forces is limited at best and its potential as a first-strike weapon in a major conflict much greater: Even as a "conventional" weapon, an RNEP by definition threatens hardened targets, and sites such as missile silos and command centers of a national adversary, precisely because they are fixed and used long-term, are much easier to pinpoint and thus more vulnerable than the ad hoc contrivances of terrorist groups.

9/11 didn't "change everything." It just changed the arguments.

Say what?

Reuters says that Pat Robertson has warned the people of Dover, Pennsylvania that they shouldn't be surprised if disaster strikes because they had "rejected" God by voting out the school board that tried to push so-called Intelligent Design into the curriculum.

People really give money to this guy?

Thursday, November 10, 2005

Doctor Who and the Ambassadors of Geek

Astronomers believe that at the heart of probably every active galaxy (i.e., one in which star formation is occurring) lies a supermassive black hole. And now, New Scientist reported last week,
[a]stronomers have obtained the closest glimpse yet of the supermassive black hole thought to lurk at the centre of our galaxy, the Milky Way. ...

Zhi-Qiang Shen of the Shanghai Astronomical Observatory in China and colleagues in the US examined the radio source at the centre of our galaxy, known as Sagittarius A. They used a network of 10 radio telescopes spanning 5000 miles, known as the Very Large Baseline Array (VLBA). The radio source is thought to mark the location of a titanic black hole that is guzzling surrounding light and matter.

The radio emissions are thought to come from highly energised gas closely orbiting the black hole, rather than the black hole itself. The team studied an area 12 times bigger than the central black hole. ...

If astronomers are able to see up to the edge of the black hole's event horizon - beyond which no light can escape - they may be able to determine whether Einstein's theory of general relativity holds up under high gravity conditions.

If it does, astronomers expect to see a dark shadow due to the black hole completely absorbing emissions from behind the black hole. Then a brighter ring should be seen around the shadow due to light rays that are flung around the black hole. However, this is a discovery that may yet be five to 10 years away.

"It could be we see nothing of the sort and we find something completely different," says Christopher Reynolds, an astrophysicist at the University of Maryland, College Park, US. "We might have to confront the notion that Einstein's theory was inappropriate."
And despite what the pseudo-scientific know-nothings would have you believe, the prospect of coming across something unexpected - coming up against something new - delights true scientists.

Wednesday, November 09, 2005

A few election notes

- Democrats won gubernatorial elections in Virginia and New Jersey. :yawn: Both were expected to win and both were ahead in the polls pretty consistently and in the case of Jon Corzine (New Jersey), pretty far ahead for the most part. The only interesting things were that Bush's last-minute appearance in Virginia certainly didn't help GOPper Jerry Kilgore, who lost to Dim Tim Kaine by a margin clearly bigger than the polls indicated, and that in New Jersey the GOPpers reached what might be a new low in campaign ads, showing Corzine's ex-wife saying he let his family down and would probably let New Jersey down.

- Arnold lost big. All four of the propositions he championed in California went down. Someone - I don't recall who just now - recently commented that the Gropinator had campaigned for office saying the state was a mess and it was all the state government's fault and since getting into office he's been saying the state's a mess and it's all everyone else's fault. It seems that at least some people in California are thinking that it's the governor's fault.

- Not surprisingly, by a hefty margin Texas voters endorsed a constitutional amendment to ban same-sex marriage. Human rights supporters were disappointed by the results, but they could hardly say they were surprised by much of anything in Texas. (See Ivins, Molly.)

- On the other hand, voters in Maine clearly rejected an attempt to undo the ban on discrimination against gays and lesbians
approved by lawmakers earlier this year. The lawmakers expanded the state's human rights act to outlaw discrimination based on sexual orientation, a step already taken by the five other New England states.

In near-complete returns, about 55 percent of voters were opposing repeal of the new law, which is broadly worded to protect transsexuals and transvestites as well as gays and lesbians.
As the folks at The Next Hurrah pointed out, this was proof that despite wingnut claims to the contrary, human rights can win at the ballot box.

- You may have heard about all of those, certainly the first three, but what you may not have heard is that in Dover, Pennsylvania,
[v]oters came down hard Tuesday on school board members who backed a statement on intelligent design being read in biology class, ousting eight Republicans and replacing them with Democrats who want the concept stripped from the science curriculum.
As I predicted just the other day, supporters of the slate of challengers apparently included both those who oppose ID and support actual science and those who just wish the whole business would go away.

The new board is to take office on December 5; it will be interesting to see if in the interim the lame-duck board will petition the judge in the suit over the policy to either declare a mistrial (if he can do that after all the testimony is in) or to decline to issue a verdict on the grounds that with the change in the board and the declared intention of the incoming members to strip ID from the curriculum, the issue is now moot - thus avoiding the possibility of a further embarrassing defeat.

Interestingly, the new board seems in no major rush to undo the ID policy, saying they'll "consider" the judge's decision, which is expected in January. That seems to me to indicate at least a fair degree of confidence in the outcome.

Footnote: It's not election news, but it did happen on election day and is relevant to what was just mentioned:
Revisiting a topic that exposed Kansas to nationwide ridicule six years ago, the state Board of Education approved science standards for public schools Tuesday that cast doubt on the theory of evolution[, AP reported on Tuesday].

The 6-4 vote was a victory for intelligent design advocates who helped draft the standards.
Not only do the standards now falsely claim that evolution has been "challenged in recent years by fossil evidence and molecular biology," the board also - get this, now - rewrote the definition of science, so that "it is no longer limited to the search for natural explanations of phenomena."

The vote was not a surprise, especially in the wake of the kangaroo court the board majority staged to justify their pre-determined conclusion, a practice entirely in keeping with the entire ID project.
"This is a sad day. We're becoming a laughingstock of not only the nation, but of the world, and I hate that," said board member Janet Waugh, a Democrat.
You'll pardon the expression, but amen to that, Ms. Waugh.

Just for good measure, a footnote to the preceding

Speaking of yellowcake, it appears Bush is becoming radioactive. Even Silvio Berlusconi is backing away slowly, or so this from USA Today would indicate:
Italian Premier Silvio Berlusconi, one of President Bush's strongest supporters over Iraq, says he tried repeatedly to dissuade the American leader from going to war and was never convinced military force was the best way to bring democracy. ...

"I believed that military action should have been avoided," he was quoted as saying. ...

Recently, an initial contingent of 300 soldiers returned home and Berlusconi has said subsequent groups of 300 would come back until the final group of 1,000 returns together.
This was just a couple of days before the head of Italy's intelligence services emphatically
denied that SISMI, Italy's secret service, "ever had a role in the dossier that was supposed to have demonstrated that Iraq was in an advanced phase of possession of enriched uranium,"
according to Enzo Bianco, who chairs an oversight committee on secret services. The committee was reportedly also told that when the IAEA inquired about the documents in January 2003, it was told "those documents didn't come from SISMI, they weren't produced nor supplied by SISMI."

Now, there may well be a lot of CYA going on there, especially since even Italian intelligence fingers a "former SISMI collaborator" as the forger, but that doesn't alter the fact that the Italian government is clearly taking steps to disassociate itself from Bush's War.

Now tell the truth

Are you really surprised by this?
[T]op Republicans in Congress called for a joint House of Representatives-Senate probe on whether classified material was leaked and national security damaged,
Reuters reported on Tuesday. The call was prompted by a Washington Post story last week laying out that
[t]he CIA has been hiding and interrogating some of its most important al Qaeda captives at a Soviet-era compound in Eastern Europe, according to U.S. and foreign officials familiar with the arrangement.

The secret facility is part of a covert prison system set up by the CIA nearly four years ago that at various times has included sites in eight countries, including Thailand, Afghanistan and several democracies in Eastern Europe, as well as a small center at the Guantanamo Bay prison in Cuba, according to current and former intelligence officials and diplomats from three continents. ...

Virtually nothing is known about who is kept in the facilities, what interrogation methods are employed with them, or how decisions are made about whether they should be detained or for how long.
According to Reuters,
Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist of Tennessee and House of Representatives Speaker Dennis Hastert of Illinois in a letter asked the intelligence committees to determine if the information given to the newspaper was classified and accurate, who leaked it and under what authority, and the actual and potential national security damage from it.
These are the very same people who tried to block an investigation into 9/11, who had to be dragged kicking and screaming into even a tepid whitewash investigation of prewar intelligence, who even now are stalling on their own promised investigation of the use of that intelligence by the Shrub gang (the so-called "Phase II"), and who couldn't have cared less about the outing of Valerie Plame. The very same people who seem to be utterly uncurious as to how it came to be that the US and UK intelligence services both were supposedly fooled by an obvious, clumsy, forgery into claiming "credible" evidence that Saddam Hussein had tried to get yellowcake from Niger. The very same people who apparently are totally uninterested in the fact that Ibn al-Shaykh al-Libi,
[a] high Qaeda official in American custody was identified as a likely fabricator months before the Bush administration began to use his statements as the foundation for its claims that Iraq trained Al Qaeda members to use biological and chemical weapons, according to newly declassified portions of a Defense Intelligence Agency document.

The document, an intelligence report from February 2002, said it was probable that the prisoner, "was intentionally misleading the debriefers" in making claims about Iraqi support for Al Qaeda's work with illicit weapons.
The same people. The same people who are now all hot and heavy to discover just who did the dastardly deed of telling the truth about the US government disappearing people into a secret prison system. Like I said, are you surprised?
Asked whether the Republican leaders would seek an investigation of the secret prisons, Ron Bonjean, Hastert's spokesman, said, "First we're looking into why we have people leaking classified information."
Ah. I guess investigating the prisons will be Phase II.

Footnote: The link to the Niger documents came by way of Left End of the Dial.

Another Footnote: Someday I should lay out in detail my feelings about the Valerie Plame case. 'Cause, ya see, I'm not particularly upset by the outing of an agent per se. It would depend more on what they had been doing and who they were doing it with. Most of what the CIA does is intelligence-gathering and analysis, and much of that doesn't even involve what would usually be considered spying but rather combing through open-source material. It's that minority of the agency's work that involves covert action, of actually trying to manipulate events and people, which I reject.

The secret prison system described by the Post certainly fits in that latter category. The person who leaked that information should not be hunted, they should be celebrated as a hero.

Footnote to the Footnote: Frist and Hastert's probe may get short-circuited before it begins. According to Raw Story,
Senator Trent Lott (R-MS) told CNN's Ed Henry Tuesday afternoon that he believed it was a Republican senator who gave information about secret CIA jails abroad to the Washington Post....

Lott said that much of the information contained in the Post report ... was discussed at a meeting of Republican senators last Tuesday.
So let's see how quickly Billy and Denny backtrack. Five... Four... Three...

Interesting comment

Kenneth Tomlinson, who after becoming the chair of the board of the Corporation for Public Broadcasting spent public money to have outside researchers check public programming for "liberal bias," has resigned, it was announced last Friday. The resignation came before CPB Inspector General Kenneth Konz, who has been looking into Tomlinson's reign, could release his report.

Jeff Chester of the Center for Digital Democracy noted cogently that this is unlikely to stop the continuing attempts to turn public broadcasting into another mouthpiece of the right (in fact, I suspect the whole resignation is an exercise in misdirection). Despite that, it's still a victory and still does mean, as was discovered earlier in the drive to relax media concentration rules, even for the Shrubberies* there are limits beyond which they can't go.

Oh, what was the "interesting comment?" It was this:
The CPB said both the board and Tomlinson believed it was in the best interest of the CPB that he step down.

"The board does not believe that Mr. Tomlinson acted maliciously or with any intent to harm CPB or public broadcasting, and the board recognizes the Mr. Tomlinson strongly disputes the findings in the soon-to-be-released inspector general's report," the board said in a statement.
Which I'd say gives us a pretty good hint as to what Konz's report is going to say.

*Shrubberies: Acolytes of Shrub

Train wrecked

Amtrak's board of directors has fired President David Gunn. Gunn, while not a great favorite among rail advocates, had been successful in cutting costs and improving management on Amtrak and maintaining service on long-distance lines that the board wants to kill - eagerly pushed by jackasses such as Transportation Secretary (and Amtrak board member) Norman Mineta, whose repeated lies and fables about Amtrak would shame Baron von Munchhausen.

In fact, the board, backed by the Shrub gang, wants to shut down all long-distance lines and turn Amtrak into little more than a series of disconnected transportation hubs, useful primarily for ferrying business executives between cities that are too close for convenient air travel. In September, it even
approved a resolution authorizing splitting off the Northeast Corridor, which accounts for the largest share of the railroad's ridership.
That would destroy Amtrak and the board knows it. Gunn was not willing to destroy the system, so despite his aggressive cost-cutting, he's out.
Sen. Charles Schumer, D-N.Y., who has fought against a Bush administration effort to end subsidies for the struggling passenger rail service, praised Gunn as "a brilliant manager."

The senator called Gunn's removal "a crushing blow to Amtrak's hopes for success and reform."
The praise is certainly overdone, but Schumer's underlying point that there is a conscious, on-going attempt to destroy long-distance passenger rail service in this country, a service which was never intended to succeed, is absolutely unquestionable.

Saturday, November 05, 2005

Too good not to share

Via PastPeak comes this from Jay Leno:
President Bush was asked how he came up with a conservative like Alito, and he said he got the idea over the weekend while turning the clocks back.
If John Roberts as a nominee represented the bob-and-weave style and Harriet Miers was the "also on the card" entry with no footwork and the glass jaw, Samuel Alito appears to be the plodder who intends to win just by never going down.

I mean, this guy, with his record, he's not even a moving target. He's an out-front right-wing ideologue who questions church-state separation, opposes abortion rights, and doesn't give two hoots about his own conflicts of interest or even keeping the very specific promises he made to the Senate during his confirmation to his current position.

Trying to excuse him, the wingnuts, who waxed ecstatic about his nomination to SCOTUS, insisted that he "follows precedent." Well, BFD for the most part; appellate-level justices are supposed to follow Supreme Court precedents. But what struck me more than anything else about his opinions as noted above and what I think is very revealing, is that he looked to apply the most reactionary interpretation of precedent available. That is, he would "follow precedent," but to the degree precedent allowed, he would seek to limit civil rights laws, increase police powers, stifle the rights of workers, block access to the courts by victims of bigotry and discrimination, and on and on.

What does that say about what he will do on the Supreme Court, where precedent is a guide but is not binding?

Not surprisingly, there is talk of a filibuster and already the wingnuts are raising the specter of the "nuclear option" that would essentially ban filibusters of judicial nominees. Yeah, but what about the so-called "gang of 14" with their oh-so-Solomon-like balancing act to head off that possibility?
Two Republican members of the group, Senators Mike DeWine of Ohio and Lindsey Graham of South Carolina, have said that if Democrats stage a filibuster against Judge Alito's confirmation, they would support a rule change.
I have to say it: I told you so. I told you so in May, when the deal was first announced.
It ... would be entirely in keeping with the letter of the deal for the GOPpers to at any useful point in the future to say of a Dem attempt at a filibuster, "This is not an extraordinary circumstance! The deal's off!" With Frist saying the nuclear option is still on the table and that he "will monitor this agreement closely," that is by no means an idle concern.
I told you so again in July, when I said
GOPpers are already making noises that there had better be no filibustering of whatever wingnut sock puppet Shrub puts up for the Supreme Court. In fact, there really shouldn't be any questions asked at all.
I also quoted Orrin Hatch (R-Uh-oh) as saying that he couldn't see "any circumstances where a filibuster would be appropriate."

The brutal fact is, enough GOPpers are going to do as they're told to get this creepy jackass on the Supreme Court no matter what he believes or says or does as long as he's copacetic with the most reactionary elements of their party. So filibuster him, dammit! At this point, what have we got to lose? If Frist wants to detonate the bomb and blow a hole in 200 years of Senate tradition, tell him to go ahead and do it! In fact, dare him to. Would we be any worse off?

And is anyone so damn sure he'd actually do it? Last spring he kept threatening it but kept putting it off and I frankly wondered - and still wonder - if he ever actually had the votes. I noted at the time that certainly most GOPpers would go along; the question was if enough would. I frankly can't imagine that too many of them would be really enthusiastic about supporting a move of which, according to polls (if I recall correctly), most Americans disapproved and facing an opponent who might - if they were smart and while it's hard to believe, some Dems actually are - hammer away at their "disrespect for the traditions of our way of government."

Bottom line here is that Samuel Alito is even worse that John Roberts. Roberts is a conservative in the mold of Rehnquist: Hard right-wing but not completely without nuance. Alito is a conservative in the mold of Scalia (thus the nickname "Scalito," or "little Scalia"): Rigid, undeviating reactionary. We may not be able to stop him - but we will stand in disgrace if we don't do our damnedest.

Friday, November 04, 2005

A little good news to lighten the load

The Kansas City Star reported on October 22 that in 2000, an 18-year old boy named Matthew Limon, residing in the advanced state of Kansas, had consensual sex with another boy, then aged 14. The act was discovered; he was arrested, tried, and convicted of criminal sodomy. He was sentenced to 17 years in prison.

If 17 years in the slammer for teen sex isn't shocking enough, consider that had his partner been a girl instead of a boy, the maximum sentence would have been just 15 months. That's because Kansas has a so-called Romeo and Juliet statute, which
allows for lesser penalties for teenagers convicted of having sexual relations with a 14- or 15-year-old, so long as the offender is 18 or younger and less than four years older than the victim, and is a member of the opposite sex.

Limon's attorneys argued that the last distinction violates the state and federal constitutions by holding out different penalties for a separate class of citizens.
The good news here is that on October 21, the Kansas Supreme Court agreed, ruling not only that the law is unfair but that
[t]he statute violated a 2003 U.S. Supreme Court ruling that made it illegal for states to penalize homosexual activity.
Everyone on both sides agreed the ruling is a victory for gay rights and its strong language - the Court declared that "moral disapproval of a group cannot be a legitimate governmental interest" - could be the basis for further gains. Still, the history of the case shows not only how far we've come but how far we haven't:
Lower courts had ruled against Limon, arguing the distinction was necessary to protect traditional sexuality, to protect children and teenagers and to prevent the spread of diseases such as HIV. They had also ruled that softer penalties for straight offenders were justified because those offenders might have impregnated their young partners and have a child to care for.
"Protect traditional sexuality?" Isn't that the same kind of argument that was used for years to claim that it was impossible for men to rape their wives? To criminalize anal and oral sex, even between married couples? To ban birth control?

"Protect children and teenagers?" From what? From learning that the notion that gays are more likely to exploit children or be predators is a bigoted fantasy?

"Prevent the spread of diseases such as HIV?" Are they still living in the old ignorance that HIV is a "gay disease?" Do they not care about syphilis, gonorrhea, genital herpes? Is it okay for those diseases to spread?

"Straight offenders ... might have ... a child to care for?" Do you really want some 17-year old supporting the child of a 15-year old? Is that wise or in most cases even possible? Aren't you really proposing rewarding the boy for impregnating the girl? ("Atta guy! Way to go!") And isn't the "logic" the same sort as that once used to justify paying men more than women for the same job? ("He has a family to care for.")

And, of course, there was the typical slogan-smeared soundbites about "activist judges" from the friends of bigotry:
I'm outraged," said Matt Staver of the Orlando, Fla.-based Liberty Counsel, which filed a brief supporting the law on behalf of 25 Kansas lawmakers. "The court essentially rewrote the law and clearly usurped the power of the Legislature."
Let me explain something to all the Matt Stavers out there. I'll try to say it clearly and simply enough so your limited grasp of reality can encompass it.

The Legislature does not have the power to override the rock-bottom principle of equal treatment before the law! The Legislature does not have the power to override the US Constitution! The Court did not "usurp" any power of the Legislature because the Legislature does not have the power to establish lawful bigotry.

Is that simple enough for you?

Oily customers

Prompted by Exxon-Mobil posting the largest quarterly profits of any US corporation ever - some $10 billion - amid rising gasoline and heating oil prices, Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist has said that the Senate Energy and Commerce committees will hold hearings into charges of price-gouging by major oil companies, Agence France-Presse reported last week.
"I have asked them to call as witnesses executives from the major oil companies and representatives of the state attorneys general, who have the initial responsibility of keeping the behavior of local energy providers on the straight and narrow," Frist said. ...

"Ultimately, if the facts warrant it, I will support a federal anti-gouging law," he said.
Somehow, I don't think the oil giants are trembling in fear of any investigation set up by Bill Frist. For one thing, Frist supports drilling in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge (ANWR) and kept a provision in the omnibus budget bill to allow it. Next, as per usual, his move was intended as a way to deflect stronger demands and stronger words. For example, Chuck Schumer (D-NY) said
"All of the major oil companies, foreign and domestic, have now announced their earnings: ExxonMobil third-quarter earnings up 75 percent. ConocoPhilips up 89 percent. British Petroleum up 34 percent. Shell up 68 percent.

"All together, the 29 major oil and gas firms in the Standard and Poors 500 stock index are expected to earn 96 billion dollars this year - up from 68 billion dollars last year and 43 billion dollars in 2003.

"Its become perfectly clear that the big oil companies are cashing in while average American families are being bled dry," Schumer said.
But beyond that, how many times have we been down this road? How many times have energy prices gone up and up until people got so pissed off that some in Congress started mumbling about investigations - at which time prices dropped a bit until the pressure was off?

And how many times have whatever investigations did get going end up by swallowing industry propaganda about "market forces" and "competitiveness" and going no further than a few tut-tuts about "taking advantage of market conditions" to engage in "overaggressive pricing?" (That's as close to an actual quote from one such inquiry some years ago as memory will allow.) Even Schumer, despite his seemingly tough talk, has only proposed a two-year "excess profits" tax to be split between Katrina relief and deficit reduction. No offense, Chuck, but big whoop.

You want to impress me? Stop with the crap of bogus "investigations" that lead nowhere, skip the flaccid bull about "excess profits taxes," and openly avow that energy supplies are a vital national resource that must be regulated in the public interest.

We have an energy-intensive economy, in fact an energy-intensive culture. Our heat, our light, our transportation, our industry, our food supply, our jobs, all are based on energy consumption. Yes, we waste an awful lot of energy, yes, we could do more with less, yes, we could live simpler lives, yes, we could and should be doing one hell of a lot more with conservation and renewables - but no, none of that is relevant to the issue immediately at hand. That issue is the central importance of energy - no matter how environmentally-sound and efficient its production and consumption - to the way we live our lives.

You really want to impress me? Argue that the mineral and energy resources of a nation are the common property of all its people and can't properly be controlled or exploited for private profit. Oh, Exxon-Mobil, oh, Conoco, oh all the rest, yes, we'll license you to extract, refine, and sell those resources, but you'll pay a nice fee for doing so - because you don't own it until you buy it from the people as a whole: Until it's actually out of the ground, it belongs to us.

You really, really want to impress me? Breathe the N-word: nationalization.

Footnote: Ted Kennedy and some other Dem senators
on Thursday sent an open letter to oil company executives urging them to use their increased profits to contribute to fuel funds for low-income families.
Unless those executives get visited by three spirits on Christmas Eve, I don't see that happening.

Creating a theory

As I'm sure you recall, the school board of Dover, Pennsylvania issued a ruling in November, 2004 requiring high school biology teachers to read to their students a statement questioning evolution and encouraging them to read a book generally regarded as the major statement of so-called "Intelligent Design." I expect you also remember that a group of 11 parents who were interested in having their children be educated in the 21st century instead of the 18th sued, arguing that the board was illegally and unconstitutionally trying to inject religion into public education.

That trial is expected to wrap up today, November 4. Although it's never wise to predict with authority the outcome of a trial, two bits of testimony reported by New Scientist magazine should be sufficient to show just how bogus the whole ID project is.

Early in October, it was revealed that earlier drafts of the very book the board cited, Of Pandas and People, repeatedly referred to "creationism" and "creationists." But just after the US Supreme Court ruled on June 19, 1987 that creationism is religion and therefore not to be taught in public schools, those references were replaced with "intelligent design" and "intelligent design proponent."
"ID proponents have said for years that they are not creationists," says Nick Matzke of the National Center for Science Education in Oakland, California.... "This proves beyond a doubt that this is simply a new name for creationism." ...

The names of the drafts alone are incriminating, he says. The first draft, in 1983, was called Creation Biology, the next is Biology and Creation, dated 1986, and is followed by Biology and Origin in 1987. It is not until later in 1987 that Of Pandas and People emerges.
Perhaps worse for the neo-creationists, two weeks later their standard-bearer, the aggressive and highly-visible biochemist and ID proponent Michael Behe, who insists that ID is a valid scientific theory, was forced to admit under cross-examination that ID is not "well-substantiated." Even worse than that, he acknowledged that he was actually using his own definition of a scientific theory, one so vague that under it, he admitted, astrology would also be considered valid science.
The exchange prompted laughter from the court, which was packed with local members of the public and the school board.
That kind of response can't be a good sign for the school board and its ilk - and frankly, one unlikely to be overlooked by the court to the degree that considerations go beyond points of constitutional law and into public opinion.

The judge in the nonjury trial has given no indication of when a decision will come.

Footnote: School board elections are coming up in Dover on Tuesday. An opposition slate is running on a platform of taking ID out of the schools. They expect to draw support not only from those who know better than to accept ID but also from others who, whatever they think about it, wish the whole business will just go away.

Ha?

From The Independent (UK) for last Friday comes news that
[t]he Bush White House is not only losing the battle for the hearts and minds of the American people. It also appears to be losing its sense of humour.

The administration has just written a cease-and-desist letter to the satirical newspaper The Onion, urging it to stop using the presidential seal on its website.
Of course, the seal has been used in parody and satire any number of times, but in this case the White House is saying that the seal
"is not to be used in connection with commercial ventures or products in any way that suggests presidential support or endorsement."
The Shrub team is endorsing The Onion? Even by implication? Have they actually read the thing?

So I think The Independent is wrong: I don't think the White House has lost its sense of humor. I think they're just so desperate to find a new source of support somewhere that they'll take anything they can find - or think they find.

Now, this is a shock

This item is from over a month ago, from an October 1 AP story, in fact, but I thought it important enough to bring up even after this extended time.
Phoenix - Taser International Inc. has voluntarily changed some of its broad safety claims and limited its use of the word "non-lethal" in an effort to appease Arizona officials concerned about possibly misleading marketing, officials said Wednesday.

The move by the nation's largest maker of stun guns comes as the Securities and Exchange Commission investigates the company and as the Arizona Attorney General's Office conducts its own inquiry into safety claims. ...

In January, Arizona Attorney General Terry Goddard said his office was probing claims Taser has made about safety studies on its products.
The "company officials," it seems, must have been employing some new meaning of the word "voluntarily" of which I've previously been unaware. But to continue:
According to Taser and the Attorney General's Office, the stun gun maker submitted a list of language changes the company has already made, including an 18-point "product warning."

Among the changes, Taser explains that it uses the term non-lethal as defined by the Department of Defense - which doesn't mean the weapon can't cause death, but that it's not intended to be fatal.

Other changes include substituting the phrase "leave no lasting after effects" to "are more effective and safer than other use-of-force options." ...

Amnesty International has compiled a list of more than 100 people the group says have died after being shocked in scuffles with lawmen.

Taser maintains that no deaths have been directly caused by the weapon alone.
That last statement is significant because it is a major step-down for the company, which previously insisted the weapon was innocent in all such cases. This statement, however, admits both that it could be an indirect cause of death and that it could be a direct contributing factor.

Meanwhile, the SEC is
conducting an expanded official investigation of claims Taser has made about safety studies; an end-of-year sale analysts have questioned because it appeared to inflate sales to meet annual projections; and the possibility that outsiders acquired internal company information to manipulate the stock price.
I've said all along about Tasers that they are dangerous weapons. In some ways they are more dangerous than guns in police hands. Not because they are inherently more deadly - they are not - but precisely because their supposed safety would lead them to be used almost casually, as a convenience, a method of enforcing dominance without effort, employed not only in situations where potentially deadly force would otherwise be used, but even in cases where little or no force would otherwise be used. Which is exactly what has happened.

As far as I'm concerned, the suckers should be banned and the sooner Taser Inc. is run to ground, the better.

Three... Two... One...

To those of you who have stuck with me during this long dry spell, my many and sincere thanks. I hope things are finally settling down a little and I'll be able to spend more time at this.

Over the next day or two or three, I'm going to post a few things that struck me during my time away. Some are maybe a little old now - a couple of weeks, even - but I thought them worth noting. Consider it a way of catching up.

Again, thanks for being around.

Saturday, October 29, 2005

Drive-by post

Under the heading "If Only" comes the news that Shrub responded to the indictment of Lewis Libby by saying "In our system, each individual is presumed innocent and entitled to due process and a fair trial."

Oh, what I would have given to have some reporter say "Mr. President, when is Jose Padilla going to get the benefit of that tradition?"

Tuesday, October 25, 2005

For all with eyes to see

The map on the left, from the BBC, shows how the provinces of Iraq voted on the new constitution. It tells the story of Iraq in the starkest terms, shows the divisions between, on the one hand, the (mostly-Sunni) central and western areas and, on the other hand, the (mostly-Shiite) south and east and the (mostly-Kurdish) north. And shows it in a way no one could rationally deny.

In fact, it seems no matter how you run the numbers, the same splits turn up. For example, the two provinces marked in red on the map - Anbar and Salahuddin - are the ones that rejected the proposed document by a greater than two-thirds majority. If you redid the map to show in red provinces that had a majority "no" vote, even if not a two-thirds majority, Nineveh in the northwest and bordering both Anbar and Salahuddin, would also be red. The overall result of about 78.5% "yes" and 21.5% "no" mirrors rather closely the population split between, again, Shiites and Kurds on the one hand and Sunnis on the other.

This is not to say, of course, that all Sunnis voted "no" and all Shiite and Kurds voted "yes." But even so, that dramatically-clear division is more than merely geographic, it is also strong and deep. Consider another map, one that would display in green those provinces where the winning side, whether "yes" or "no," got at least two-thirds of the vote; the rest would be in red. Fifteen provinces would be green; only three, all ethnically mixed, would be red, and one of those would be greenish: Diyala (51% yes), Nineveh (55% no), and Tamim (63% yes). In fact, if you raised it to provinces where the winning side got 95% of the vote or even more, you would still have 13 green provinces and only five red ones.

Back in August, I said that the vote looked like a lose-lose proposition.
The less likely possibility ... is that the constitution will be rejected and the whole process collapses and has to be started over. That would be a political disaster that would frustrate large parts of the Shiite community.... The more likely possibility ... is that the constitution will be approved over the objections of a large number of Sunnis who will then feel even more disaffected, regarding the constitution as something forced on them which is harmful to the needs of their community - and the insurgency will grow.
The prediction was hedged as "likely" because I expected it to be close in just the way that it was: If something like 10-12% of voters in one province (Nineveh) had voted differently, the proposed constitution would have been rejected. Oddly enough, reading the BBC's report on Monday about how the vote had turned into something of a cliffhanger, I began to think that despite the risks, for those who cling to the hope that maybe by some combination of strokes of sheer dumb luck something of lasting good for Iraqis could come out of all this, a defeat for the constitution might be the best thing, because it would give Sunnis a basis for believing that they did have some political power, did have a possible option beyond violence or victimization.

But it was not to be and already the resentments are appearing.
Sunni figures talked of widespread fraud after hearing the final results.

Saleh al-Mutlaq, part of a Sunni Arab team that negotiated the constitution, called the referendum a "farce" and accused government forces of stealing ballot boxes to reduce the size of the "No" vote.
But even with those I fear unbridgeable divisions, there are still some things on which the vast majority of Iraqis agree, as reported by the Sunday Telegraph (UK) for October 23: They oppose the occupation and say it's making things worse.
The poll, undertaken for the Ministry of Defence and seen by The Sunday Telegraph ... demonstrates for the first time the true strength of anti-Western feeling in Iraq after more than two and a half years of bloody occupation. ...

The survey was conducted by an Iraqi university research team that, for security reasons, was not told the data it compiled would be used by coalition forces. It reveals:

- Forty-five per cent of Iraqis believe attacks against British and American troops are justified - rising to 65 per cent in the British-controlled Maysan province;

- 82 per cent are "strongly opposed" to the presence of coalition troops;

- less than one per cent of the population believes coalition forces are responsible for any improvement in security;

- 67 per cent of Iraqis feel less secure because of the occupation;

- 43 per cent of Iraqis believe conditions for peace and stability have worsened;

- 72 per cent do not have confidence in the multi-national forces.

The opinion poll, carried out in August, also debunks claims by both the US and British governments that the general well-being of the average Iraqi is improving in post-Saddam Iraq. ...

[T]he poll show[ed] that 71 per cent of people rarely get safe clean water, 47 per cent never have enough electricity, 70 per cent say their sewerage system rarely works and 40 per cent of southern Iraqis are unemployed.
Interestingly, the area with the lowest percentage who felt that attacks are justified, 25%, was around Basra, another of the four UK-controlled provinces. However, that may have changed, as Basra, in the supposedly "peaceful" part of Iraq, has become a battleground between British forces and the very security forces whose successful buildup was supposed to provide the pretext for a withdrawal, but who now, the UK says, are heavily infiltrated by militias with ties to Iran.
Most ordinary people in Basra hate the militiamen, who enforce intolerant Islamic strictures forbidding the consumption of alcohol and the mixing of men and women in public. The militias are also accused of carrying out hundreds of executions of Sunni Arab opponents or of ordinary people who fall foul of their rules.

But the population of Basra largely turned against the British after the two [UK] soldiers were freed [in a military operation last week after having been arrested,] because of a widespread belief that they were Israeli spies.

It is feared that yesterday's arrests [of militia by UK forces] will only enrage them further.
Shrub, of course, responded to the vote by talking about "spreading freedom." In that August post, I advised him to "keep smiling - it's all you have." It still is.

STDD/GTHO.

Footnote: The Telegraph notes that the result of the MOD survey "differ markedly" from those of a poll commissioned by the BBC in March, 2004, indicating a sharp deterioration in the attitudes of Iraqis about the occupation and its effects on them. I referred to that BBC poll in my post on the first anniversary of the war, saying it described "some sense of hope among Iraqis," but if you want to check out the full results, to see just how much attitudes have changed in the last 18 months, they are at this link in a .pdf document.

Saturday, October 22, 2005

Life, interrupted

Or, "Just When You Thought It Was Safe to Get Back to Blogging."

My best friend for the last 40 years or so dropped dead of a massive heart attack yesterday morning. He worked in wireless communications and was at a meeting to train some new customers on the equipment. He got as far as introducing himself - and then he just keeled over.

Immediate CPR didn't help; the paramedics (who arrived within about 5 minutes of being called, according to those who were there) couldn't help; attempts to revive him in the ER failed - in fact, they were pointless.

The only blood relation remaining is his wife's, his now-widow's, aged mother, who lives a few hundred miles away. She - the wife/widow - has got some good friends in the area, but the only family here are me and my ex-wife. No, we're not blood relations, but we're family all the same.

So I'm afraid I'm going to be rather distracted the next few days. My apologies in advance. I won't say that nothing will appear, but - well, just no promises. However it goes, it goes.

This is not a good day.

As time goes by

Updated Okay, so here's the deal. There was this big antiwar demonstration planned for September 24. And yeah, it was looking like "big" was going to be the right word. People were getting excited, buses were being organized, flyers were going out, it was coming together.

And what were some people worried about? Could it have been the mechanics? Negotiating the route? Lining up parade marshals? Organizing press relations? Well, yes, happily there were people concerned with the details of pulling the thing off. But others were concerned with the politics. Or, rather, what they fantasized was the politics. And they were worried, deeply worried. Because there were, you know, well, I don't like to label people but.... I mean, well, there were leftists involved! I don't mean good Democratic Party liberals, oh no, I mean actual leftists! Doggone it, I'll say it out loud, there were even socialists involved! In the actual planning! In the organizing! Can you believe it?

"Omigosh!" the cries rose. "We can't be identified with Those People! It will make us Look Bad! They will be Divisive! They will Raise Other Issues! They will Alienate The Public!"

But of course there was no way to actually prevent Those People from being involved in promoting and organizing participation in the rally even as there were those who wished Those People could be prevented from even taking part. So some among us wrung their hands and fretted about how the media would focus on "incidents" and "radicals" - you know, on Those People and What They Will Do - that the right wing would pounce on to their advantage; and indeed there were some who even fussed that the very mass demonstration itself would Discredit The Antiwar Movement, a movement which in their minds extended no further than a proposal to maybe begin to withdraw some troops from Iraq maybe, oh, I dunno, a year and a-half from now. Or so.

But the day came as days have a habit of doing and what do you know, it was astonishing. Yes, indeed, a mass turnout - the biggest single protest since the war began, as a number of people pointed out. How many were there? The chief of the DC police said that the organizers had certainly met their goal of 100,000 and added when asked that 150,000 was "as good a guess as any." Organizers estimated 200,000; some even claimed 300,000 (although that seemed to be pushing it some). By any estimate, a lot. A whole lot.

A massive, joyous, denunciation of the war and celebration of life. Press coverage was extensive and on the whole quite good. The New York "Times" piece was rather fluffy - their grim editorial determination to justify their earlier support for the war seemingly having infected their news coverage of related events (see Miller, Judith) - but the Washington "Post," AP, and Reuters all filed good stories that expressed both the size and the diversity of the crowd and were remarkably free of the snickering "reminiscent of the '60s" references that populated dispatches about earlier protests. All in all, a wonderful event that fulfilled almost all of the hopes and virtually none of the fears.

So what do I find the beginning of the next week? What do I find when I go scanning the Big Blogs to see what people are saying about the weekend? I still find people griping and grousing about the involvement of leftist groups in the organizing! I still find people saying how much better it would have been If Only Those People Had Not Been Involved.

Fuming about the involvement of groups such as ANSWER (which seemed to be the primary focus of the Sincere Concern) before the demo was bad enough (especially since United for Peace and Justice did most of the heavy lifting), doing it after a successful event during which your fears proved unwarranted is just monumentally stupid.

I was left slack-jawed, wondering my gosh, have we learned nothing in the last fifty flaming years? Are we really that lame, really that blind, really that, the only word that fits is, stupid that we keep repeating the same mistakes over and over again?

Yes, the same mistakes. Consider first that when Joe McCarthy went on his rampage about "communist infiltration" of the government, his words reached a receptive public audience, receptive enough that his smears and lies are credited with defeating some Democrats in 1950 and helping elect Dwight Eisenhower in 1952. But it needs to be remembered that McCarthy didn't start the "Red Scare" atmosphere in which he thrived, he just capitalized on it enough to lend his name forevermore to the tactic of political intimidation through innuendo and lies. By the time Tailgunner Joe opened his mouth in 1950, the paranoia was well developed.

For example, the House Un-American Activities Committee (HUAC) was engaging in its own form of political terrorism: Its witch hunt for "subversives" in the film industry - which directly prompted the notorious Hollywood blacklist - started in 1947, three years before McCarthy's "I have in my hand" speech.

Faced with this sort of guilt by accusation and association, what did the people who knew the truth do? What did those who were attacked for knowing someone who knew someone who once roomed with someone who was related to someone who at some point was in the Communist Party or maybe went to a party hosted by a communist, actual or "suspected," do? Did they speak out, did they condemn the destruction of lives and liberty, did they challenge it? Did they say "Take you lies and stick 'em - I'm not turning my back on my friends?" A brave few did - but their courage lay not so much in their words as in their loneliness: Most - up to and including Eisenhower, both as candidate and as president - kept silent; indeed, many went out of their way to declare their vehement hatred of anything red or even vaguely pink. It wouldn't have been surprising if some had declared the only apples they would eat were Granny Smiths and eyed suspiciously anyone foolish enough to confess a fondness for tomato soup.

Notably, the AFL had already launched an attack on "communists" in the labor movement, particularly in the rival CIO, and had opened a covert relationship with the CIA to undermine "left wing" labor groups in Europe. By the time the AFL and CIO merged on December 5, 1955, the CIO had purged communists and communist "sympathizers" - again, whether real or suspected - from leadership and organizing roles.

And did this virtuous, forceful declaration of true Americanism bring potency and protection to the labor movement? Did it insulate it from charges of being subversive? Of course not. What it did instead was to strip the movement of some of its most effective and enthusiastic supporters and organizers. Which could be a significant part of the reason why immediately thereafter, the proportion of US workers who belong to unions began to decline and has continued to do so: from 33% of the workforce in 1955 to just 12.9% in 2003. In fact, fewer people are in unions now than 50 years ago despite a much larger workforce. Yes, the "changing nature of work" has also mattered - but even in the most heavily unionized sectors the proportion has shrunk, sometimes dramatically:
Since 1978 ... the percentage of workers in manufacturing who are union members has fallen from 40 percent to 13.5 percent. ... Unions in 2002 represented 17.2 percent of construction industry workers, compared with 70 percent in 1956. Unions represented 8.5 percent of workers in the mining industry in 2002, down from 63 percent in 1956.
Meanwhile, the silence in the face of McCarthy's blustering and bullying did nothing - big shock - to contain him. He simply went beyond his list of - whatever it was, 57, 81, 205 - "communists" protected by the "treasonous actions" of those in the State Department to finding subversion in the books offered by the Voice of America and then ultimately to the Army, with a stopover insinuating Eisenhower was a communist along the way.

The Red Scare years are hard to grasp at this distance. The level of distrust, of paranoia, of fanaticism, certainly and clearly outstrips what we are living with today - which is not to say it could not become that bad, only that it hasn't yet. But the one lesson that activists should have drawn from that nightmare is that acquiescence is not an answer. Adopting the terminology, the (dare I say it) frame of the enemy - I use the word deliberately - does not protect you against attack. Most of all, slicing away your friends and supporters will not help you. Spending time and energy going "oh, no, no, no, I'm not one of them" only narrows your base, reduces your potential support, and will not satisfy your attackers.

That should have been clear (in fact, it was clear to some folks nearly 100 years earlier), but apparently it wasn't: In the early years of the opposition to the Vietnam War, the same mistakes were made. With the memories of McCarthy still ringing in their heads, many peace groups and individuals felt that they had to justify, to legitimize, their objections to the war by proving they were really, really, truly American. They not only consciously, meticulously, avoided any contact with not only the Communist Party but any other definably left-wing party as well, but were careful in all their statements to "balance" any criticism of US policy or actions with condemnations of "communism" and all its associated evils.

(Sidebar: I put the word in quotes because by this time "communism" - usually understood in the US to mean a worldwide, monolithic force defined and controlled by centralized, Soviet-style government, which was certainly a very different animal than anything Karl Marx had envisioned by the term - had mutated into a variety of forms in a variety of places. For example, the very nationalistic "communism" of Ho Chi Minh was simply not the same as the "communism" found in China or even less in the USSR. For its part, the CPUSA was regarded as something of a joke by its European counterparts for its subservience to the shifts in political winds in Moscow. They had long since come to chart their own independent courses.)

But the war dragged on and a few groups, a few people - notably some who had been radicalized by their experiences in the civil rights movement - got bolder. Some decided that they would work with any group with who they agreed on a given issue even if they disagreed on other things. Some even - and the War Resisters League deserves kudos in this regard - broke the taboo on working with the CP.

And what do you know, the world did not explode, the antiwar movement did not collapse, and the public at large did not recoil in horror at the notion of radicals involved in the peace demonstrations to which they themselves were increasingly drawn. Part of the reason is that opposition had seemed radical from the start but over time looked less and less so as the war looked less and less rational and the notion that the protestors "are on to something" began to spread. Another good part - and this will come up again - is that for most people who came to oppose the war, the issue increasingly wasn't what they were doing in Vietnam, but what we were doing in Vietnam. In early 1987, I wrote about
the most dangerous of all our cultural notions: the myth of American innocence. We as a people still tend to believe that we always act out of the highest ideals, that our motives are always pure, our intentions always honest, our honor always intact. The Monroe Doctrine still functions in American minds as "protection" of Latin America rather than domination of it. The "manifest destiny" - one of the more blatantly imperialistic doctrines in the Western world's history - is usually viewed (when it's viewed at all) through a romantic haze as the blossoming westward of a people too vibrant and energetic to be confined. Jamming Japanese-Americans into concentration camps in World War II was an "aberration," Vietnam was "a noble mistake," high-level political corruption right up through Teapot Dome, Watergate, and Gippergate always the work of "a small number of people," the invasion of Grenada a "rescue," the shelling of Lebanon an act of "peace-keeping," the bombing of Libya "to prevent further terrorism," building nuclear weapons "purely defensive." ... We continually fool ourselves into believing that each grisly episode, each new monstrosity, each new offense, is an "isolated case" the very isolation of which reaffirms the basic purity of the American political character. ...

There is just one partially-redeeming virtue to all this: perpetual innocence allows for perpetual shock. When one of these exercises in egregiousness does manage to penetrate our cultural armor, we can still feel horror and outrage....
And Vietnam did manage to do that. The reality managed to break through the facade of "resisting communist aggression" to a degree that increasing numbers of people could not avoid facing.

Certainly, the McCarthy-era tricks were still tried, there was a good deal of Red-baiting, but people paid less and less attention to it. And here's the key point: While the nature of the war was certainly one reason for that, another, significant, reason was that the movement itself paid less and less attention to it. A socially-radicalized, politically-aggressive antiwar movement did not spend a lot of time and energy trying to "prove" to the satisfaction of people who would never be convinced that it was not "anti-American" or "pro-communist." It simply went about its business of opposing the war.

Indeed, when HUAC tried to get up to its old tricks with an investigation of the so-called New Left in I think it was 1967, it discovered a much-changed set of opponents. Instead of people who defiantly declared their right to political privacy, who insisted on First and Fifth Amendment grounds that they would not answer the Committee's questions, the members confronted people who proudly embraced the very accusations made against them. Yes, they said, we are revolutionaries. Yes, we oppose the war. Yes, we support the Viet Minh and yes, we hope they drive the US out of Vietnam. In a happy blunder, the Committee demanded testimony from such folks as Abbie Hoffman and Jerry Rubin (who showed up in costume as a soldier in the American revolution), witnesses who made the Committee look foolish by their simple refusal to be intimidated. (Think George Galloway with guerrilla theater.)

(Some have argued that they could be bolder than those interrogated in the '50s because they had "less to lose" than the earlier accused, which is true enough in a certain economic sense but the examples of the conspiracy trials, e.g., the Chicago 7 - nee 8 - and the so-called "Trial of Dr. Spock," and programs such as COINTELPRO make that certainly at least an arguable assertion.)

Did any of the general rabble-rousing, the (if you will) political self-affirmation, the open defiance, the, as Dan Berrigan wrote in the context of a different sort of defiance, "fracture of good order, ... the angering of the orderlies in the front parlor of the charnel house," do any good? Yes. It was both the core and the expression of, as I said in 1985,
the anger and the joy, the tough determination and gentle compassion, the bitter awareness and sweet dreams that marked a movement that over a several-year span was powerful enough to end the draft, limit and finally stop a war, force one (and maybe two) Presidents from office, shake the foundations of a society's judgements about half its population, force the nuclear power industry to a virtual halt, and change - perhaps not by much but quite possibly permanently - that society's sense of its relationship to the environment.
The nuclear freeze movement of the 1980s either recalled or internalized that attitude: When accused of being "inspired by the KGB," supporters and organizers pretty much just said "Don't be ridiculous" and kept going. Now, in fairness, I have to note that those same folks were able to refer to the fact that the proposal put demands on both the US and the USSR and that balance was one big reason why it was relatively easy for even middle-of-the-road politicians to support it. But the point here, again, is that such balance did not protect the movement against being Red-baited - but the movement did not allow itself to get bogged down in "proving" its supposedly-required pro-US, non-communist, bona fides. Contrary to some notions, the movement didn't disappear as an issue because it had failed: The Reagan administration came into office in 1981 pledged to attain "nuclear superiority" over the Soviet Union and calling nuclear wars "winnable" and "a physics problem." But by 1984 it was sounding like a Ban-the-Bomb group and reached agreements with the Soviets that convinced a good number of people that the threat of nuclear war no longer loomed, with the result that other concerns took priority. The movement faded party due to cooption and partly due to its success in changing the atmosphere in which nuclear weapons were considered. That is, it became a mass movement that successfully forced the government to change its tune in order to head off further successes. Not a total success, but much further from a failure.

But if there was at least partial success there, in other ways people were stunned by Reaganism. Perhaps that's why amnesia struck the American left and we retreated into the CYA mode of earlier years. Fast forward to April, 1991. The Gulf War had ended and the peace movement was licking its wounds, wondering why it had been so impotent in the face of a war that, before it began, many wanted to stop. I gave my answer to that question:
At the very start of the efforts to head off the Gulf war, a tactical decision was made that this time around we'd prove that we "support the troops" as much as anyone. Not for us the "marginalization" of the Vietnam era. So we wrapped ourselves in yellow, carried placards declaring "We Support Our Troops," were as loudly and proudly American as anyone.

And we wound up more marginalized than ever. ...

In its eagerness to prove itself genuinely "American," the peace movement [put itself] on the defensive from the very beginning. Instead of simply assuming the legitimacy of our protest, we acted like we had to "prove" that we were really "legitimate," really "Americans," really "part of the mainstream" - and in so doing succeeded only in confirming the right wing's stance that these were proper questions to ask about us. The way a political discussion is framed determines which positions are "legitimate" and which are "not." No one in a political dispute should ever allow their opponent to frame the terms of debate - but that tactical sin is one of which the peace movement has been repeatedly, egregiously, guilty.

Buying into the yellow ribbon culture was a terrible blunder, morally, historically, and politically, one which I fear will reverberate through our political culture for years to come.

Indeed, it was more than a blunder: It was a form of intellectual cowardice. We showed ourselves more concerned with not "offending" anyone than with saying what we believed, more with sparing ourselves the embarrassment of "losing" than with advancing our ideas. We were so worried about not looking "radical," "un-American," or whatever other word it was we thought would make "middle America" gasp that we undermined our own arguments, undercut our own authority - and now we wander around, dazed, astonished at the advances of the militarists, apparently unable to draw the connection between our own lack of political courage and our failure to stop the war or even to build an effective constituency against it. ...

The buildup to the Gulf war deserved - required - a response every bit as vigorous [as that to Vietnam], with every bit as much clarity. Instead, through our own fearful and foolish failure to speak the truth as we knew it we acquiesced in our own elimination from "legitimate" debate to such an extent that George Bush was able to declare without fear of contradiction that "there is no antiwar movement in this country." ...

The bottom line is that we were so eager to be part of the "mainstream" (which, again, we let the right wing define), so eager to avoid "isolation," so eager not to be seen as "losers" that we were ready to trade real truth for rudimentary tolerance - and in so doing failed in all three goals. Former Texas Agricultural Commissioner Jim Hightower is fond of saying that "the only things found in the middle of the road are yellow lines and dead armadillos." The US peace movement appears to bear the characteristics of both.
Put another way, acquiescence is not an answer! Slicing away your friends and supporters will not help you!

Okay, home stretch time as we make another jump, this time to the days and weeks following September 11, 2001. And again, just as during the '50s Red Scare, just as during the early days of Vietnam, just as during the Gulf War, significant voices on the left took great pains to distinguish their Loyal Opposition With Emphasis On Loyal from those who would respond to the attacks with anything other than wholehearted Americanism, hatred of terrorists (well, foreign ones, anyway), and bloodlust toward Afghanistan - that is, those who would raise questions about the roots of terrorism and wonder aloud if maybe this was in some way or another related to what we have done in and to other parts of the world over the past decades.

For some, yes, that may have been an honest, sincere response. There were many who felt a surge of patriotism that surprised them. But no, that wasn't always the reason. That October, for example, Eric Alterman argued in "The Nation" that some among us should be "rejected for reasons of honor and pragmatism" (emphasis added) as the "'Hate America' left." His argument for "honor" was hard to discern since he never actually named anyone to be read out of the ranks of "principled dissent[ers]" or said just why they should be, but he was clear about the pragmatic part: It was, I wrote at the time,
as protection against the "McCarthyite thuggishness" so amply on display in public discourse these days. ...

[But b]y decrying "the refusal to draw [a] line" between "principled dissent" and an ill-defined "'Hate America' left" Alterman effectively acknowledges that questions about our patriotism - however we individually define the word - are proper ones.... His proposed course of action does not defuse the right's attack, it legitimizes it.
That is, he repeated the "oh no, I'm not with Them!" mistakes of the Red Scare and the "I am too, patriotic!" mistakes of the Gulf War era.

Around the same time, Todd Gitlin wrote a piece called "Blaming America First" in "Mother Jones." He blasted away at "reflexive anti-Americans" consisting of a "vocal" "minority" that is "isolated on campuses...where reality checks are scarce" and who engaged in "fairy-tale oversimplification" that ignored Saddam Hussein and al-Qaeda. Just replace those last two references with "communists" and "Viet Cong atrocities" and it's 1964 and Vietnam and the "responsible" (supposed) opponents of the war are flailing away at the "radicals" all over again.

Several months later he was still at it, expressing horror at the idea that the "hard left" was in the forefront of the developing anti-Iraq War movement, "turning the movement toward the bitter-end orthodoxy of the Old Left," marked by "a refusal to face a grotesque world." In his continuing reliving of the earliest days of Vietnam, he insisted the movement was "doomed" unless it was lead by "out-front patriots" who would condemn Saddam Hussein as strongly as - if not more strongly than - US policy. Whether this is bitterly amusing or merely bitter, coming as it does from someone who at least used to take pleasure in being identified as a former president of Students for a Democratic Society (SDS), is up for debate.

Alterman and Gitlin were by no means alone. As another example, a year later, the self-consciously clever and self-proclaimed liberal Michael Bérubé wrote in the Boston "Globe" that those who opposed the wars on Afghanistan and Iraq had "lost their moral compass." In a follow-up, he blasted Noam Chomsky for having said in the fall of 2001 that the US had demanded Pakistan cut off food supplies to Afghanistan, as a result of which millions could die - even though he acknowledged the statement was true based on the best available information at the time it was made! The reason, apparently, is that "it gave credence to the charge that the left had become the blame-America-first party."
So what would Bérubé have us do [I wrote at the time]? Keep silent lest we be thought "anti-American?" Wait for the right wing to set the permissible limits of debate before speaking up? How else are we to regard what amounts to a call to refrain from making politically-unpopular statements even if they're true?
(By the way, distance, as measured by a time span of four years, apparently does provide some perspective: Just few days ago, talking about the so-called liberal war hawks, Alterman said on his blog
I try never to speculate on the motives of any given individuals. [I assume he actually meant he doesn’t anymore, since he seemed quite ready to engage in such speculation in 2001.] ... The media ... pretend that turning on powerless liberals is somehow braver than standing up to the Bush administration and its entire propaganda apparatus in the conservative (and a healthy chunk of the mainstream) media. [R]ight-wingers must have a good laugh at these "principled" who take every political question on its merits but always end up finding fault with their own side.
Columnist, critique thyself?)

I thought my response to Bérubé was cogent, but events indicated it was more cogent than I thought, because keeping our mouths shut about things beyond the right wing's version of the "mainstream" seemed to be exactly what some had in mind. There were prominent "liberal" bloggers, for example, who openly opposed the demonstrations at the GOP convention in New York City a year ago on the grounds that the rightists would label them "disrespectful." There were those - and there was some overlap - who opposed the counter-inaugural demonstration last January because, and this is a quote from one, "it will make us look like sore losers."

After the election, there was a great deal of discussion, which continues even now, about how the Democrats need to "re-think their agenda." Noteworthy among the proposed "re-thinks" are eliminating support for abortion rights, gay rights, affirmative action, and gun control: responding to right wingers by trying to placate them, to be a little more like them - actually, rather more than a little more. Meanwhile, not only are such as ANSWER, Ramsey Clark, and Noam Chomsky to be sidelined and condemned as "hard left anti-Americans," but even Michael Moore and for pity's sake MoveOn.org have been subjected to the "they're not with us" routine by some because they have been the target of right wing attacks, attacks that aim at targets further and further rightward as those to the left get picked off and filed away by the CYA liberals under the heading "unacceptably radical for public discussion."

And what has been the result? What has it achieved? What has this surrender by degrees gotten us? Do we have a strong, vibrant left? Do we have an effective movement for peace and justice? Are we gaining the attention of the public - a public that actually agrees with at least liberal positions on a large number of issues?
In a May survey published by the Pew Research Center for the People and the Press, 65 percent of respondents said they favor providing health insurance to all Americans, even if it means raising taxes, and 86 percent said they favor raising the minimum wage. Seventy-seven percent said they believe the country "should do whatever it takes to protect the environment." A September Gallup Poll finds that 59 percent consider the Iraq War a mistake and 63 percent agree that US forces should be partially or completely withdrawn.
You know the answers to those questions as well as I do, as even an issue that commands 86% support goes down to defeat because corporate America doesn't like it and we don't have enough of a movement to make it an issue. It just shows again that acquiescence is not an answer! Slicing away your friends and supporters will not help you!

Yet we keep making the same mistakes, no matter how many times they have proved to be such.

I have said this before, I have said it so many times that I ought to have it tattooed on my forehead to save me the trouble of repeating it:
The fact is, the movement for peace and social justice in this country has been at its strongest and most influential when it has spoken the truth without giving a flying damn if anyone was "offended" or not. We didn't build a movement against the Indochina War by harping on the "shortcomings of both sides" but by blasting it for what it was, a monstrously immoral and evil enterprise which should be stopped immediately. We didn't build movements for civil rights, women’s equality, a cleaner environment, and against nuclear weapons by worrying about how we'd be received by bigots, sexists, corporate bosses, or militarists - or how we'd "look" or who we'd "turn off" if we labeled the discriminators, despoilers, and desperadoes for what they were.
It is so sad, so frustrating, to see the left keep on repeating the same old idiocy of arguing by the right wing's definitions, of trying to prove the "legitimacy" of our dissents on the right wing's terms, of meekly accepting the right wing's limits on the range of debate.

And we're still doing it. We're still doing it. Every time you see a demonstration against the Iraq War, every time you go and see the "We Support the Troops" signs there, you're seeing the same old mistakes repeated. The same old blunder of "we have to prove we're really American" - which, I say again, only serves to confirm the legitimacy of the question. In the wake of the Gulf War, after noting (as quoted above) how our attempts to wear as many yellow ribbons as anyone else left us "more marginalized than ever," I added
[t]he reasons are no harder to fathom now than they should've been last summer [i.e., the summer of 1990]. Despite our lengthy and detailed differentiations between the soldiers in Saudi Arabia and the policy that sent them there, "support the troops" in their humanity, lacking a well-established political message supporting it, translated all too easily into "support the troops" in their work - that is, support the bombing, support the destruction, support the carnage. In a political culture framed by sound bites and ideas reduced to bumper stickers, to the extent people were aware of the message, to that same extent it was trivialized.
Tell me honestly: You/we "support the troops." Just what the hell does that mean? Seriously. What does it actually mean? What can it mean when you can have a demonstration with signs reading "Support the Troops" and "End the War Now" on one side of the street and a counter-demonstration with signs reading "Support the Troops" and "Stay the Course" on the other?

Noam Chomsky calls the phrase "the perfect propaganda," and so it is - because it can be used to oppose dissent from government policy (if you oppose the war, you "don't support the troops") without actually meaning a damn thing. It is, ultimately, an empty slogan, vapid and useless for any purpose other than its designed one of undermining opposition by changing the subject. No longer does the government have to defend its war, now the peace movement has to defend its degree of "patriotism." If you doubt that, consider the contexts: When the right says "Support the Troops!" it's an imperative, a command to others; their own "support," whatever that might be taken to mean, is assumed. When we say it, it's either "We Support the Troops!" or some version of "Support the Troops - Bring Them Home!" The former constitutes an answer to the right's demand, not a call to others, and the latter, by defining our meaning of the term, again allows as how it's something we have to prove, which can't be assumed.

Once again, the right wing has set the terms of debate and once again we've swallowed them whole. They must really get a kick out of watching us dance to their tune over and over again.

Frankly, I say our position on "support the troops" should be "bring them home." Period. Not only to refuse to accept the right wing's formulation of the issue and instead attempt to keep the focus on the war policy rather than on who's "patriotic" and who isn't (Accusation: "You don't support the troops." Response: "I want them brought home. Now."), but because, bluntly, there is something we have to face, have so far refused to face in our talk about body armor and so on: Those who claim that they want to support the troops and pray for their safety should advocate getting them out. Getting them out as quickly as possible. Because in war, in combat - and let's at least not pretend what's happening in Iraq is not combat - as long as they're there, there is an unavoidable tradeoff: The more you wish for them to remain safe, the more you are wishing for them to kill others. That is what safety in combat means. The more you wish for them to return safely, the more you are wishing for Iraqis not to. The more you wish life for them, the more you are wishing death for others. The more you wish that American mothers, fathers, wives, husbands, sisters, brothers, daughters, sons, don't suffer the loss of a family member, the more you are wishing that Iraqi mothers, fathers, wives, husbands, sisters, brothers, daughters, sons, do. In war, there is no other way. Undoubtedly, there are those who are prepared to declare American lives are inherently more valuable than Iraqi lives. I am not among them.

To sum all this up in a few lines: In that October, 2001 column in which Eric Alterman called for ousting the "'Hate America' left," one of his "pragmatic" arguments was that right wing pundits were already reaching for "examples so tiny as to be virtually nonexistent" in order to tar "anyone with a wartime question."
In light of that[, I wrote,] does he really imagine that falling back into CYA mode, draining limited political and emotional capital in declaring "Oh no no no, they're not with us!" will make any difference? Will it stop the attacks, the accusations, the journalistic tarrings? Has it ever?
The clear answer to that is no. No. All it has ever done is encourage more attacks. Acquiescence is not an answer! Slicing away your friends and supporters will not help you!

So why the hell do we keep doing it? Are we really, at the end of the day, simply that stupid?

Oh, P.S.: It's a well-known, well-established psychological fact that people judge things in context, that is, how something is perceived is affected by what surrounds it and even political positions can seem either more moderate or more extreme depending on what related positions are being expressed. So don't bother telling me about the "real world" or about how I "don't understand politics" or about the great need to be "realistic" and "practical" unless you are prepared to list all the successes your "realism" and "practicality" have brought us in the absence of more radical demands on the same subject.

Updated with a correction: The original version of this post quoted Michael Bérubé as saying opponents of the Afghanistan and Iraq Wars were "part of an 'anti-American left' that was 'mouthing pacifist platitudes.'" That was based on notes for the letter, referred to in the post, that I wrote in response to him. I have now found the actual letter and have determined that the phrases were not his, nor did they appear in my letter. Instead, they were charges laid by other people against the same sort of folks Bérubé was criticizing. While the targets were the same, the accusations were not. I regret the confusion and the phrases have been removed from the post.

Friday, September 30, 2005

The pause that refreshes

Well, hopefully. The move is on Saturday and after this posting I'm going to pack up the gizmo and so be computerless for a couple of days. There won't be anything else from me until the beginning of the week.

This is my fourth move in the past three years and not one of them has been undertaken as the result of genuine desire; all have been impelled by one cause or another: employment, family reasons, whatever. I'm tired of it and I really really hope this is the last move for at least a few years - even though I know that circumstances may impel yet another move as soon as next spring. But perhaps the new changes will work out as hoped and we can settle in for a time. We'll just have to see.

My intent is that once we get a little unpacked in the new place I'll be able to get back to more regular blogging here; what with packing and all I've had little enough time and to be honest not a lot of inclination to work on posts. But I decided that I wasn't ready to let it go when I was getting furious reading some other blogs in the wake of the wonderful, massive outpouring of bold antiwar sentiment on Saturday only to find a number of them still - still! - bemoaning and grousing about the involvement of ANSWER in the organizing of it! And I kept thinking "My God - have we learned nothing in the last 50 flaming years?"

To get the rest of the rant that will, yes it will, make the connection there, plus some thoughts on what "Support the Troops!" means, check back the beginning of next week. In the meantime, enjoy the dancing vision of Tom DeLay, Bill Frist, and Karl Rove all under indictment simultaneously and take pleasure in one small victory in the struggle before your soul is frozen by the reality of Chief Justice John Roberts.

Footnote: The John Roberts Honor Roll, numbering 22, all Democrats: Akaka (HI), Bayh (IN), Biden (DE), Boxer (CA), Cantwell (WA), Clinton (NY), Corzine (NJ), Dayton (MN), Durbin (IL), Feinstein (CA), Harkin (IA), Inouye (HI), Kennedy (MA), Kerry (MA), Lautenberg (NJ), Mikulski (MD), Obama (IL), Reed (RI), Reid (NV), Sarbanes (MD), Schumer (NY), Stabenow (MI).

States with a clean conscience: California, Hawai'i, Illinois, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Jersey, and New York.

States with a troubled conscience: Delaware, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, Rhode Island, and Washington.

States with no conscience: The rest.

Biggest Ass-Licker, measured by how far it was necessary to bend over to perform the act: Russ Feingold (D-WI).
 
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