Wednesday, October 28, 2020

The Erickson Report for October 28 to November 10, Page 2: Waiting

The Erickson Report for October 28 to November 10, Page 2: Waiting 


Okay, this show will be on shortly before election day so it's quite possible you are seeing it after November 3. If that's so, we may or may not have a good sense of the outcome by that time.

We probably won't: The Columbia Journalism Review notes that while in previous elections, in most places about 3-5% of votes were absentee or mail-in, in this one it could be top 30%. So it will take a while.

One thing to watch is Florida. Florida counts absentee and mail-in ballots as they arrive, so by late on the 3rd it might be possible to call it. If it goes for Tweetie-pie, there is a big and probably drawn-out fight in store - but if it goes for Blahden, Tweetie-pie is very likely toast.

Expect, too, that same-day results are expected to be more favorable for Tweetie-pie and there are predictions that the GOPpers will use that to claim victory and then use that claim as a basis to screech “fraud” when the counting of the mail-in votes flips those preliminary results. Which I expect you have heard but I wanted to remind you to be ready for it and be ready for the necessity of being as loud as they are.

Even if the best of what’s available to us happens, even if the White House and Senate both flip, all of my talking about voter suppression, intended to give you a sense of the status and the scope of the right wing campaign in that direction, will still matter because those efforts will not stop. One thing the left can learn from the right is sheer sitzfleisch - sheer stubbornness. As far as the right wing is concerned, even issues you'd think are settled are up for debate if they didn't win.

Which brings me to my next topic.


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